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	<title>META // Ben Truscello &#187; Breaking News</title>
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	<description>A blog by Ben Truscello</description>
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		<title>Falcon Crest : A drama starring a boy, a balloon, and media buffoons</title>
		<link>http://metabent.com/falcon-crest-a-drama-starring-a-boy-a-balloon-and-media-buffoons/</link>
		<comments>http://metabent.com/falcon-crest-a-drama-starring-a-boy-a-balloon-and-media-buffoons/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Oct 2009 22:02:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ben</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Breaking News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emerging Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media Hype]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monitor 110]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ushahidi]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://metabent.com/?p=124</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By now, if you haven&#8217;t heard the story of the Balloon Boy, well, you must live in a bubble (I know, sorry). Frankly, I could care less whether poor little Falcon Heene was hiding in the attic or actually trapped high above Ft. Collins, Colorado in the belly of his Dad&#8217;s jiffy pop creation. Nor do [...]]]></description>
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<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span> <span style="color: #000000;">By now, if you haven&#8217;t heard the story of the <a href="http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&amp;rlz=1G1ACAW_ENUS311&amp;q=history+of+balloon+boy&amp;um=1&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;ei=md7dSo6mCsfO8Qb-2dRq&amp;sa=X&amp;oi=news_group&amp;ct=title&amp;resnum=1&amp;ved=0CBYQsQQwAA" target="_blank">Balloon Boy</a>, well, you must live in a bubble (I know, sorry). Frankly, I could care less whether poor little Falcon Heene was hiding in the attic or actually trapped high above Ft. Collins, Colorado in the belly of his Dad&#8217;s jiffy pop creation. Nor do I care if the whole thing was a <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2009/US/10/18/colorado.balloon.investigation/index.html" target="_blank">hoax</a>.</span> <span style="color: #000000;">What does interest me is how a story like this can <a href="http://www.google.com/trends/hottrends?q=*&amp;sa=X&amp;date=2009-10-15" target="_blank">evolve</a>, or shall we say, <em>balloon</em>, in the media.</span></p>
<div>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://img.skitch.com/20091020-frbwd2u5ans49i653ndwausywk.preview.jpg" alt="Twitter / Clay Shirky: The Runaway Balloon Drama" width="380" height="269" /></p>
</div>
<div>
<h3><span style="color: #000000;">Know your sources?</span></h3>
</div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;">The nature of news media, and how a story transitions from non-traditional to mainstream media outlets has been of interest to me for some time. In my opinion, we all <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">want to</span> should know <a href="http://nymag.com/news/media/60153/" target="_blank">where our news comes from</a> and how trustworthy the source. Most will remember Jason Blair&#8217;s <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2003/05/11/national/11PAPE.html?ex=1367985600&amp;en=d6f511319c259463&amp;ei=5007&amp;partner=USERLAND" target="_blank">handiwork</a> at the New York Times, but in many cases we are not dealing with fabricated sources, rather niche or foreign. In my case, I used to work at a <a href="http://www.jamia.org/cgi/content/abstract/15/2/158" target="_blank">program</a> at Georgetown University Medical Center dedicated to tracking global internet news media, looking for signs of socially disruptive events suspected to be caused by biological agents, like influenza. The approach at Georgetown was analogous to the United States National Weather Service storm warning models (such as the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saffir%E2%80%93Simpson_Hurricane_Scale" target="_blank">Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale</a>) to detect and assess threatening weather conditions. </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;">Of course, the concept of using internet news media for detecting and tracking disease is not unique, with excellent examples to include <a href="http://healthmap.org/" target="_blank">Healthmap</a> and <a href="http://www.google.org/flutrends/intl/en_us/#utm_campaign=ft-en&amp;utm_source=ft-en-ha-na-us-sk&amp;utm_medium=ha&amp;utm_term=flu%20trends" target="_blank">Google Flu Trends</a>. Moreover, there are folks who attempted to leverage news media reports for trading on Wall Street. Take my favorite example from years past, <a href="http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2008/07/monitor110-a-po.html" target="_blank">Monitor 110</a>. Once heralded as a &#8220;Bloomberg killer&#8221;, Monitor 110 was based on a thesis that,</span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></div>
<blockquote>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><em>&#8230;more and better information is being put out on the Internet every day, information that can be valuable to Institutional investors who are constantly looking for an edge. And these investors were not very sophisticated about how to best access this information; Monitor110 would use technology to help them get that edge.</em></span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><em> </em></span></div>
</blockquote>
<div><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-127" title="Monitor 110" src="http://metabent.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Monitor110.jpg" alt="Monitor 110" width="500" height="290" /></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><span id="more-124"></span>During my two years at Georgetown, we tracked thousands of events and handled millions of news media articles from around the world. Like Monitor 110 and Healthmap, we were tracking information vital to our clients; they rapidly needed accurate and actionable information. To ensure accuracy, there was substantial emphasis placed on determining the credibility of a report&#8217;s source. In fact, anyone leveraging news media for intelligence needs to address simple questions that are not always easy to answer, for instance:</span></div>
<div>
<ul>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Does the event meet the reporting requirements defined by the client?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">What is the cause of this event and is this a new or existing event?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Where (specifically) is the source located?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Where (specifically) is the event located?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Who is involved in the event?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Who (specifically) is the source of this information (eg. a government official or a citizen)? </span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">What is the credibility of the author? </span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">How severe is the event in its local context?</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">If you think these questions seem simple, think of how you might have analyzed the first report of influenza-like illness in Perote, Mexico &#8211; just another influenza case or the start of a pandemic? Take into account this massive information burden and you can see value in qualifying a media report according to local knowledge, while applying technology to automatically triage, or queue, relevant information. Of course, I am referring to strong information retrieval and extraction technologies coupled with customized taxonomies and/or ontologies and effective <a href="http://www.alertnet.org/db/an_art/57939/2009/09/12-144735-1.htm" target="_blank">visualizations</a> to tell the story in context and aid analysis.</span> <span style="color: #000000;">Good analysts can no longer avoid digging into the data itself or taking a source for his word; even during emerging crises, we&#8217;re all super crunchers. Like many, I&#8217;ve watched the evolution of Ushahidi over the years, and was pleased to hear the effort advancing with the <a href="http://blog.ushahidi.com/index.php/2009/02/04/crisis-info-crowdsourcing-the-filter/" target="_blank">Swift River project</a>, designed to &#8220;crowdsource the filter&#8221;:</span></p>
<div>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://blog.ushahidi.com/index.php/2009/02/04/crisis-info-crowdsourcing-the-filter/"><img class="aligncenter" title="Crisis Info: Crowdsourcing the Filter" src="http://blog.ushahidi.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/filter-full.png" alt="Crisis Info: Crowdsourcing the Filter" width="500" height="290" /></a></p>
</div>
<div>
<h3><span style="color: #000000;">Who the hell is Wolf Blitzer?</span></h3>
</div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;">During times of crisis we are inundated with information. I&#8217;ve seen in countless times while supporting my clients, and I&#8217;ve spoken with folks across industries about how they deal with monitoring (and protecting) the sources that report during crisis. One crisis could be humanitarian, another could be an image crisis, and whether you are an non-profit or a marketing firm, you have to filter the noise. </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;">While the case of the Balloon Boy does not necessarily fit this issue, it speaks to the critical nature of source accuracy. In the end, maybe it was Falcon himself who was on to something when he asked during the CNN interview, &#8220;Who the hell is Wolf Blitzer?&#8221; Well, most of us know Wolf, but had CNN actually taken the time to ask &#8220;Who the hell is Richard Heene?&#8221; (the &#8220;<a href="http://www.nydailynews.com/entertainment/tv/2009/03/12/2009-03-12_desperate_wife_agrees_to_return_visit_to.html" target="_blank">storm-chasing, science-obsessed</a>&#8221; wife-swapper), or dig a bit deeper into the Ft. Collins police, maybe we would have all been spared the tragedy that was <em>not</em> the Balloon Boy. </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><span style="color: #000000;">If we have not already, we will soon forget Falcon, the balloon, and the barfing, but we will continue to see that breaking news is a tough business to get right, especially when you are dealing with critical information. It does not matter if you are a media analyst or Wolf Blitzer &#8211; you are only as good as your sources, especially when you fail to vet them properly. </span> </span></div>
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