Emerging Crisis


17
Dec 09

Highlights and Opportunities in the US Strategy for Countering Biological Threats

The National Security Council (NSC) just released the US National Strategy for Countering Biological Threats (PDF), a framework for US Government planning efforts in support of the overall National Biodefense Strategy that dates back to 2003-2004.

NSC Word Cloud

A Cloud: US National Strategy for Countering Biological Threats

I don’t need to tell you that biological threats, natural or man-made, are an international issue, so, the strategy provides a broad approach. While placing significant emphasis on acts of bio-terrorism, it intends to reduce biological threats by (my emphasis):

(1) improving global access to the life sciences to combat infectious disease regardless of its cause; (2) establishing and reinforcing norms against the misuse of the life sciences; and (3) instituting a suite of coordinated activities that collectively will help influence, identify, inhibit, and/or interdict those who seek to misuse the life sciences.

Going on, it identifies roles and responsibilities and provides seven main objectives (PROTECT):

  • Promote global health security
  • Reinforce norms of safe and responsible conduct
  • Obtain timely and accurate insight on current and emerging risks
  • Take reasonable steps to reduce the potential for exploitation
  • Expand our capability to prevent, attribute, and apprehend
  • Communicate electively with all stakeholders
  • Transform the international dialogue on biological threats

So, how do we balance our resources toward a bio-terror threat versus that of naturally occurring disease? Furthermore, are we looking at the issue in a holistic sense? Lastly, how will open government and/or technology play a role in the future of bio-threat reduction?

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17
Oct 09

Falcon Crest : A drama starring a boy, a balloon, and media buffoons

By now, if you haven’t heard the story of the Balloon Boy, well, you must live in a bubble (I know, sorry). Frankly, I could care less whether poor little Falcon Heene was hiding in the attic or actually trapped high above Ft. Collins, Colorado in the belly of his Dad’s jiffy pop creation. Nor do I care if the whole thing was a hoax. What does interest me is how a story like this can evolve, or shall we say, balloon, in the media.

Twitter / Clay Shirky: The Runaway Balloon Drama

Know your sources?

The nature of news media, and how a story transitions from non-traditional to mainstream media outlets has been of interest to me for some time. In my opinion, we all want to should know where our news comes from and how trustworthy the source. Most will remember Jason Blair’s handiwork at the New York Times, but in many cases we are not dealing with fabricated sources, rather niche or foreign. In my case, I used to work at a program at Georgetown University Medical Center dedicated to tracking global internet news media, looking for signs of socially disruptive events suspected to be caused by biological agents, like influenza. The approach at Georgetown was analogous to the United States National Weather Service storm warning models (such as the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale) to detect and assess threatening weather conditions.

Of course, the concept of using internet news media for detecting and tracking disease is not unique, with excellent examples to include Healthmap and Google Flu Trends. Moreover, there are folks who attempted to leverage news media reports for trading on Wall Street. Take my favorite example from years past, Monitor 110. Once heralded as a “Bloomberg killer”, Monitor 110 was based on a thesis that,

…more and better information is being put out on the Internet every day, information that can be valuable to Institutional investors who are constantly looking for an edge. And these investors were not very sophisticated about how to best access this information; Monitor110 would use technology to help them get that edge.
Monitor 110