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	<title>META // Ben Truscello &#187; Emerging Crisis</title>
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	<link>http://metabent.com</link>
	<description>A blog by Ben Truscello</description>
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		<title>Highlights and Opportunities in the US Strategy for Countering Biological Threats</title>
		<link>http://metabent.com/highlights-and-opportunities-in-the-us-strategy-for-countering-biological-threats/</link>
		<comments>http://metabent.com/highlights-and-opportunities-in-the-us-strategy-for-countering-biological-threats/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Dec 2009 06:02:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ben</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Biosurveillance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emerging Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Biological Threats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[One Health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The National Security Council (NSC) just released the US National Strategy for Countering Biological Threats (PDF), a framework for US Government planning efforts in support of the overall National Biodefense Strategy that dates back to 2003-2004. I don’t need to tell you that biological threats, natural or man-made, are an international issue, so, the strategy [...]]]></description>
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<p><span style="color: #000000;">The National Security Council (NSC) just released the <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/.../National_Strategy_for_Countering_BioThreats.pdf" target="_blank">US National Strategy for Countering Biological Threats</a> (PDF), a framework for US Government planning efforts in support of the overall <a href="http://www.dhs.gov/xabout/laws/gc_1217605824325.shtm" target="_blank">National Biodefense Strategy</a> that dates back to 2003-2004.</span></p>
<div id="attachment_189" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 585px"><img class="size-medium wp-image-189" title="NSC Word Cloud" src="http://metabent.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/Wordclound-575x329.png" alt="NSC Word Cloud" width="575" height="329" /><p class="wp-caption-text">A Cloud: US National Strategy for Countering Biological Threats</p></div>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">I don’t need to tell you that biological threats, natural or man-made, are an international issue, so, the strategy provides a broad approach. While placing significant emphasis on acts of bio-terrorism, it intends to reduce biological threats by (my emphasis):</span></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><span style="color: #000000;"><em>(1) improving global access to the life sciences to combat infectious disease <strong>regardless of its cause</strong>; (2) establishing and reinforcing norms against the misuse of the life sciences; and (3) instituting a suite of coordinated activities that collectively will help <strong>influence</strong>, <strong>identify</strong>, inhibit, and/or <strong>interdict</strong> those who seek to misuse the life sciences.</em></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Going on, it identifies roles and responsibilities and provides seven main objectives (PROTECT):</span></p>
<ul>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Promote global health security</em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Reinforce norms of safe and responsible conduct </em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Obtain timely and accurate insight on current and emerging risks </em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Take reasonable steps to reduce the potential for exploitation </em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Expand our capability to prevent, attribute, and apprehend </em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Communicate electively with all stakeholders </em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Transform the international dialogue on biological threats</em></span></li>
</ul>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>So, how do we balance our resources toward a bio-terror threat versus that of naturally occurring disease? Furthermore, are we looking at the issue in a holistic sense? Lastly, how will open government and/or technology play a role in the future of bio-threat reduction?</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong><span id="more-183"></span></strong></span></p>
<h2><span style="color: #000000;">Promoting One Health</span></h2>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">In my opinion, central to emerging biological threats is the concept of ‘One Health’ or, the local and global influences impacting human health, including the interdependence of people, animals, plants, and the environment, as well as the associated food and water availability, safety, and security. </span></p>
<div class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 509px"><span style="color: #000000;"><a href="http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pmed.1000190"><img class=" " title="One Health" src="http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/fetchObject.action;jsessionid=7D71BC97BADDC3954A995534401A5282?uri=info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pmed.1000190.g001&amp;representation=PNG_M" alt="Source: A “One Health” Approach to Address Emerging Zoonoses: The HALI Project in Tanzania" width="499" height="370" /></a></span><p class="wp-caption-text">The local and global influences impacting human health, including the interdependence of people, animals, plants, and the environment, and the associated food and water availability, safety, and security. Source: A “One Health” Approach to Address Emerging Zoonoses: The HALI Project in Tanzania</p></div>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">While not explicitly acknowledging the ‘One Health’ concept, the strategy does an okay job addressing each component. Specifically, the strategy seeks to develop:</span></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><span style="color: #000000;"><em>A robust understanding of the nature, prevalence, and severity of infectious diseases both at home and abroad is critical for effective decisions for prevention, protection, preparedness, and response. In addition, a clear understanding of scientific capabilities and medical, veterinary, and public as well as agricultural health capacity abroad is essential to inform decisions on policies, programs, and investments that can best manage current and emerging risks. </em></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">and</span></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Supporting efforts in partner countries and regions to develop mechanisms and capabilities for reporting to the WHO, OIE, FAO, and other partners validated data on human, animal, and plant outbreaks of infectious disease;</em><em> </em></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"><em> </em></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">…and improve international capacity against infectious diseases by:</span></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Supporting efforts of partner countries and regions to advance the capability of medical, public health, agricultural, and veterinary systems to respond to and recover from disease outbreaks of any origin; </em></span></p>
<h2><span style="color: #000000;">Open <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">Government</span> Governance</span></h2>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Reducing the risks presented by biological threats requires the use of all aspects of national power and coordination and effective partnerships among all sectors of government. Furthermore, expanding access and building knowledge as to the global disease burden and technological capabilities will, among other things, depend on transparency in nationally and international institutions both public and private. This falls in line with the Obama administration&#8217;s <a href="http://blog.sunlightfoundation.com/2009/01/22/memorandum-on-transparency/" target="_blank">open government initiative</a>, by<br />
</span></p>
<ul>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Supporting efforts in partner countries and regions to develop mechanisms and capabilities for reporting to the WHO, OIE, FAO, and other partners validated data on human, animal, and plant outbreaks of infectious disease;</em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Engaging Federal, nongovernmental, and international partners to advance awareness and understanding of global outbreaks of infectious disease</em>;</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Promoting the development and use of mechanisms for reporting, preserving, and—as appropriate to improve transparency in government—sharing data on Federal programs and investments in international scientific, agricultural, medical, and public health collaborations.</em></span></li>
</ul>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong> </strong></span></p>
<h2><span style="color: #000000;">The New (Old) Biotechnology…from biosurveillance to Twitter</span></h2>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">As the strategy points out<em>, advances in the life sciences are progressing globally at an unprecedented rate. </em>We are witnessing the globalization of life sciences information, and as the clouds continue to form, <a href="http://sciencelife.uchospitals.edu/2009/12/08/shoveling-sciences-data-avalanche/" target="_blank">an avalanche of data</a> from academic institutions, research centers, and private laboratories in basements and garages, will drive innovation and <em>open access to the insights and materials needed to advance individual initiatives.</em> This revolution spans biotechnology, information sharing systems and even your more commontech, like Web 2.0 applications. Thus, as you might imagine, the strategy addresses numerous technology-centric objectives.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">For instance, under the first objective, the NSC seeks to continue building global capacity for disease surveillance, detection, diagnosis, and reporting (a subject close to my heart) and <em>to advance access to and effective use of technologies to mitigate the impact from outbreaks of infectious disease, regardless of their cause.</em></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">The Strategy is hopeful to stay ahead of the life sciences revolution by:</span></p>
<ul>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Ensuring appropriate Federal investments in “technology watch” initiatives that provide cutting edge insight and analysis from those currently engaged in the science;</em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Encouraging the broad distribution of technology watch findings to those engaged in risk management activities across the Federal Government and appropriate nongovernmental partners;</em></span></li>
</ul>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">There is emphasis on working closely with partner countries and international organizations like WHO, OIE, and FAO to share disease reporting requirement compliance and to ensure efforts:</span></p>
<ul>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Is integrated and interoperable with their existing logistical infrastructure and sensitive to their public and agricultural health priorities;</em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Is sustainable within the often limited resources of the country/region, either unilaterally or with other partners;</em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Improves coordination between human, plant, and veterinary disease reporting systems, especially in relation to zoonotic diseases; and</em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Is transparent and enables the sharing of information with international human, plant, and animal health agencies and the United States.</em></span></li>
</ul>
<h3><span style="color: #000000;">So, what about Web 2.0?<br />
</span></h3>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">There are a couple of examples where the NSC places emphasis on social networks. How technology supports a local Kenyan village may differ from Silicon Valley, but at least the Strategy begins to acknowledge our global interconnectedness and how information will be shared:</span></p>
<ul>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Much of the information needed to provide situational awareness is derived from social networks within distinct and disparate communities. We will emphasize the need for each of these groups to enrich and expand their networks and ability to share data in a manner that appropriately protects individuals’ privacy and other relevant sensitivities.</em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>We must seek to encourage the development of social networks that derive from positive and productive relationships among our law enforcement and security communities and members of those communities at unique risk of exploitation. </em></span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;"><em>Evaluating the role for novel technologies in facilitating intradepartmental, interdepartmental, and open sharing of information in a manner that protects those elements deemed critically sensitive.</em></span></li>
</ul>



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		<title>Falcon Crest : A drama starring a boy, a balloon, and media buffoons</title>
		<link>http://metabent.com/falcon-crest-a-drama-starring-a-boy-a-balloon-and-media-buffoons/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Oct 2009 22:02:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ben</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Breaking News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emerging Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media Hype]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monitor 110]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[By now, if you haven&#8217;t heard the story of the Balloon Boy, well, you must live in a bubble (I know, sorry). Frankly, I could care less whether poor little Falcon Heene was hiding in the attic or actually trapped high above Ft. Collins, Colorado in the belly of his Dad&#8217;s jiffy pop creation. Nor do [...]]]></description>
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<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span> <span style="color: #000000;">By now, if you haven&#8217;t heard the story of the <a href="http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&amp;rlz=1G1ACAW_ENUS311&amp;q=history+of+balloon+boy&amp;um=1&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;ei=md7dSo6mCsfO8Qb-2dRq&amp;sa=X&amp;oi=news_group&amp;ct=title&amp;resnum=1&amp;ved=0CBYQsQQwAA" target="_blank">Balloon Boy</a>, well, you must live in a bubble (I know, sorry). Frankly, I could care less whether poor little Falcon Heene was hiding in the attic or actually trapped high above Ft. Collins, Colorado in the belly of his Dad&#8217;s jiffy pop creation. Nor do I care if the whole thing was a <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2009/US/10/18/colorado.balloon.investigation/index.html" target="_blank">hoax</a>.</span> <span style="color: #000000;">What does interest me is how a story like this can <a href="http://www.google.com/trends/hottrends?q=*&amp;sa=X&amp;date=2009-10-15" target="_blank">evolve</a>, or shall we say, <em>balloon</em>, in the media.</span></p>
<div>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://img.skitch.com/20091020-frbwd2u5ans49i653ndwausywk.preview.jpg" alt="Twitter / Clay Shirky: The Runaway Balloon Drama" width="380" height="269" /></p>
</div>
<div>
<h3><span style="color: #000000;">Know your sources?</span></h3>
</div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;">The nature of news media, and how a story transitions from non-traditional to mainstream media outlets has been of interest to me for some time. In my opinion, we all <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">want to</span> should know <a href="http://nymag.com/news/media/60153/" target="_blank">where our news comes from</a> and how trustworthy the source. Most will remember Jason Blair&#8217;s <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2003/05/11/national/11PAPE.html?ex=1367985600&amp;en=d6f511319c259463&amp;ei=5007&amp;partner=USERLAND" target="_blank">handiwork</a> at the New York Times, but in many cases we are not dealing with fabricated sources, rather niche or foreign. In my case, I used to work at a <a href="http://www.jamia.org/cgi/content/abstract/15/2/158" target="_blank">program</a> at Georgetown University Medical Center dedicated to tracking global internet news media, looking for signs of socially disruptive events suspected to be caused by biological agents, like influenza. The approach at Georgetown was analogous to the United States National Weather Service storm warning models (such as the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saffir%E2%80%93Simpson_Hurricane_Scale" target="_blank">Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale</a>) to detect and assess threatening weather conditions. </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;">Of course, the concept of using internet news media for detecting and tracking disease is not unique, with excellent examples to include <a href="http://healthmap.org/" target="_blank">Healthmap</a> and <a href="http://www.google.org/flutrends/intl/en_us/#utm_campaign=ft-en&amp;utm_source=ft-en-ha-na-us-sk&amp;utm_medium=ha&amp;utm_term=flu%20trends" target="_blank">Google Flu Trends</a>. Moreover, there are folks who attempted to leverage news media reports for trading on Wall Street. Take my favorite example from years past, <a href="http://www.informationarbitrage.com/2008/07/monitor110-a-po.html" target="_blank">Monitor 110</a>. Once heralded as a &#8220;Bloomberg killer&#8221;, Monitor 110 was based on a thesis that,</span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></div>
<blockquote>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><em>&#8230;more and better information is being put out on the Internet every day, information that can be valuable to Institutional investors who are constantly looking for an edge. And these investors were not very sophisticated about how to best access this information; Monitor110 would use technology to help them get that edge.</em></span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><em> </em></span></div>
</blockquote>
<div><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-127" title="Monitor 110" src="http://metabent.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/Monitor110.jpg" alt="Monitor 110" width="500" height="290" /></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><span id="more-124"></span>During my two years at Georgetown, we tracked thousands of events and handled millions of news media articles from around the world. Like Monitor 110 and Healthmap, we were tracking information vital to our clients; they rapidly needed accurate and actionable information. To ensure accuracy, there was substantial emphasis placed on determining the credibility of a report&#8217;s source. In fact, anyone leveraging news media for intelligence needs to address simple questions that are not always easy to answer, for instance:</span></div>
<div>
<ul>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Does the event meet the reporting requirements defined by the client?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">What is the cause of this event and is this a new or existing event?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Where (specifically) is the source located?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Where (specifically) is the event located?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Who is involved in the event?</span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Who (specifically) is the source of this information (eg. a government official or a citizen)? </span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">What is the credibility of the author? </span></li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">How severe is the event in its local context?</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">If you think these questions seem simple, think of how you might have analyzed the first report of influenza-like illness in Perote, Mexico &#8211; just another influenza case or the start of a pandemic? Take into account this massive information burden and you can see value in qualifying a media report according to local knowledge, while applying technology to automatically triage, or queue, relevant information. Of course, I am referring to strong information retrieval and extraction technologies coupled with customized taxonomies and/or ontologies and effective <a href="http://www.alertnet.org/db/an_art/57939/2009/09/12-144735-1.htm" target="_blank">visualizations</a> to tell the story in context and aid analysis.</span> <span style="color: #000000;">Good analysts can no longer avoid digging into the data itself or taking a source for his word; even during emerging crises, we&#8217;re all super crunchers. Like many, I&#8217;ve watched the evolution of Ushahidi over the years, and was pleased to hear the effort advancing with the <a href="http://blog.ushahidi.com/index.php/2009/02/04/crisis-info-crowdsourcing-the-filter/" target="_blank">Swift River project</a>, designed to &#8220;crowdsource the filter&#8221;:</span></p>
<div>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://blog.ushahidi.com/index.php/2009/02/04/crisis-info-crowdsourcing-the-filter/"><img class="aligncenter" title="Crisis Info: Crowdsourcing the Filter" src="http://blog.ushahidi.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/filter-full.png" alt="Crisis Info: Crowdsourcing the Filter" width="500" height="290" /></a></p>
</div>
<div>
<h3><span style="color: #000000;">Who the hell is Wolf Blitzer?</span></h3>
</div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;">During times of crisis we are inundated with information. I&#8217;ve seen in countless times while supporting my clients, and I&#8217;ve spoken with folks across industries about how they deal with monitoring (and protecting) the sources that report during crisis. One crisis could be humanitarian, another could be an image crisis, and whether you are an non-profit or a marketing firm, you have to filter the noise. </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;">While the case of the Balloon Boy does not necessarily fit this issue, it speaks to the critical nature of source accuracy. In the end, maybe it was Falcon himself who was on to something when he asked during the CNN interview, &#8220;Who the hell is Wolf Blitzer?&#8221; Well, most of us know Wolf, but had CNN actually taken the time to ask &#8220;Who the hell is Richard Heene?&#8221; (the &#8220;<a href="http://www.nydailynews.com/entertainment/tv/2009/03/12/2009-03-12_desperate_wife_agrees_to_return_visit_to.html" target="_blank">storm-chasing, science-obsessed</a>&#8221; wife-swapper), or dig a bit deeper into the Ft. Collins police, maybe we would have all been spared the tragedy that was <em>not</em> the Balloon Boy. </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></div>
<div><span style="color: #000000;"><span style="color: #000000;">If we have not already, we will soon forget Falcon, the balloon, and the barfing, but we will continue to see that breaking news is a tough business to get right, especially when you are dealing with critical information. It does not matter if you are a media analyst or Wolf Blitzer &#8211; you are only as good as your sources, especially when you fail to vet them properly. </span> </span></div>
</div>



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